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Monday, January 9, 2012

Ohio State Buckeyes: 2015 National Champions

Tonight is the College Football National Championship Game between #1 LSU and #2 Alabama. On the other hand, the Ohio State Buckeyes are licking their wounds after suffering the most losses in a season since 1897.

Have no fear Urban Meyer is here. I'm going on record right now saying that Ohio State will be crowned national champions three years from tonight. Am I basing this on quarterback Braxton Miller having an outstanding senior season? Do I like Meyer's first recruiting class? Not necessarily.

Bottom line: young (new) football coaches win championships

Over the last 11 years, the college football winner on average was coached by someone in their 3rd year on the job. The list below contains the winners during the BCS era of College Football.

2011 Auburn Gene Chizik (2nd)
2010 Alabama Nick Saban (3rd)
2009 Florida Urban Meyer (4th)
2008 LSU Les Miles (3rd)
2007 Florida Urban Meyer (2nd)
2006 Texas Mack Brown (8th)
2005 USC Pete Carroll (4th)
2004 LSU Nick Saban (4th)
2003 Ohio State Jim Tressel (2nd)
2002 Miami Larry Coker (1st)
2001 Oklahoma Bob Stoops (2nd)

Akron fans, don't get too excited with Terry Bowden on board. This doesn't apply to you. There's a reason your nickname is the Zips.

The formula is simple: Big time program + big time coach = championship very soon.

Although the sample size is much smaller, the recent trend in the NFL is conference championship team come from coaches in their first few years on the job.

2011 Green Bay Packers Mike McCarthy (5th) / Pittsburgh Steelers Mike Tomlin (4th)
2010 New Orleans Saints Sean Payton (4th) / Indianapolis Colts Jim Caldwell (1st)
2009 Pittsburgh Steelers Mike Tomlin (2nd) / Arizona Cardinals Ken Whisenhunt (2nd)

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